- Periodic synchronisation of dengue epidemics in Thailand over the last 5 decades driven by temperature and immunity.
García-Carreras B, Yang B, Grabowski MK, Sheppard LW, Huang AT, Salje H, ... & Cummings, DAT.
PLoS Biology, 2022: 20(3), e3001160.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3001160
- Risk factors for healthcare personnel infection with endemic coronaviruses (HKU1, OC43, NL63, 229E): results from the respiratory protection effectiveness clinical trial (ResPECT).
Cummings DAT, Radonovich LJ, Gorse GJ, Gaydos CA, Bessesen MT, Brown AC, Gibert CL, Hitchings MD, Lessler J, Nyquist AC, Rattigan SM.
Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2021: 73(11):e4428-32.
https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa900
- Predicting virologically-confirmed influenza using school absences in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, USA during the 2007-2015 influenza seasons.
Quandelacy T, Zimmer S, Lessler J, Vukotich C, Bieltz R, Grantz KH, Galloway D, Read JM, Zheteyeva Y, Gao H, Uzicanin A, Cummings DAT.
Influenza and Other Respiratory Infections, 2021: 15(6):757-766
https://doi.org/10.1111/irv.12865
- Insights into household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from a population-based serological survey.
Bi Q, Lessler J, Eckerle I, Lauer SA, Kaiser L, Vuilleumier N, Cummings DAT, Flahault A, Petrovic D, Guessous I, Stringhini S, Azman AS; SEROCoV-POP Study Group
Nature Communications, 2021: 12(1):3643.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23733-5
- Effect of specific non-pharmaceutical intervention policies on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the counties of the United States.
Yang, B., Huang, A. T., Garcia-Carreras, B., Hart, W. E., Staid, A., Hitchings, M., ... & Cummings, DAT. B, Cummings DAT.
Nature Communications, 2021: 12(1):3560.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23865-8
- Using serological measures to estimate influenza incidence in the presence of secular trends in exposure and immuno‐modulation of antibody response.
Quandelacy TM, Cummings DAT, Jiang CQ, Yang B, Kwok KO, Dai B, Shen R, Read JM, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S.
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 2021: 15(2):235-44
https://doi.org/10.1111/irv.12807
- A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: kinetics, correlates of protection, and association with severity.
Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hitchings MD, Yang B, Katzelnick LC, Rattigan SM, Borgert BA, Moreno CA, Solomon BD, Trimmer-Smith L, Etienne V, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Salje H, Burke DS, Wesolowski A, Cummings DAT.
Nature Communications, 2020: 11(1):1-6.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18450-4
- An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: Serosolver.
Hay JA, Minter A, Ainslie KE, Lessler J, Yang B, Cummings DAT, Kucharski AJ, Riley S.
PLoS Computational Biology, 2020: 16(5), p.e1007840.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007840
- An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics
Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2019: 116(48):24268-74.
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1909865116
- Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate.
Haw DJ, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Salje H, Read JM, Riley S
PLoS Computational Biology, 2019; 15(1):e1006600.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006600
- Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics.
Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S
PLoS Biology, 2018; 16(8):e2004974
doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2004974
- Cohort Profile: A study of influenza immunity in the urban and rural Guangzhou region of China: the Fluscape Study.
Jiang CQ, Lessler J, Kim L, Kwok KO, Read JM, Wang S, Tan L, Hast M, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DA.
Int J Epidemiol, 2017; 6(2):e16-.
doi: 10.1093/ije/dyv353
- Impact of interventions and the incidence of ebola virus disease in Liberia-implications for future epidemics.
Kirsch TD, Moseson H, Massaquoi M, Nyenswah TG, Goodermote R, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Peters DH.
Health Policy and Planning, 2017: 213(9):32(2):205-214
https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czw113
- Unraveling the drivers of MERS-CoV transmission.
Cauchmez S, Nouvellet P, Cori A, Jombart T, Garske T, Clapham H, Moore S, Mills HL, Salje H, Collins C, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Riley S, Truelove S, Algarni H, Alhakeem R, AlHarbi K, Turkistani A, Aguas RJ, Cummings DAT, Van Kerkhove MD, Donnelly CA, Lessler J, Fraser C, Al-Barrak A, Ferguson NM.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 2016; 113:32: 9081–9086.
doi: 10.1073/pnas.1519235113
- Assessing the global threat from Zika virus.
Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, Bi Q, Grantz K, Salje H, Carcelen AC, Ott CT, Sheffield JS, Ferguson NM, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE, Rodriguez-Barraquer I.
Science, 2016; 353(6300): aaf8160.
doi: 10.1126/science.aaf8160
- Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand.
Reich NG, Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Iamsirithaworn S, Hinjoy S, Suangtho P, Suthachana S, Clapham HE, Salje H, Cummings DA, Lessler J.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis, 2016; 10: e0004761.
doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004761
- Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology.
Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA.
PLoS One, 2016; 11: e0155249.
doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0155249
- Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health.
Lessler J, Cummings DA.
Am J Epidemiol, 2016; 183: 415-22.
doi: 10.1093/aje/kww021
- Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Hakeem R, Jombart T, Aguas R, Al-Barrak A, Cummings DA; MERS-CoV Scenario and Modeling Working Group.
Am J Epidemiol, 2016; 183: 657-63.
doi: 10.1093/aje/kwv452
- Predicting intensities of Zika infection and microcephaly using transmission intensities of other arboviruses.
Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Lessler J, Cummings DAT
BioRxiv, 2016; 041095
doi: 10.1101/041095